Do you personally believe 4 year cycle is over and we are in an extended bull run?
Do you personally believe 4 year cycle is over and we are in an extended bull run?
It seems people are 50/50 on this.
What do you think?
The main cases I see people argue for extended cycle into 2026 is that many of the previous “indicators” for the previous cycles have not topped, and that we haven’t had ‘euphoria’ yet or ‘retail hasn’t came back’. I don’t agree with any of these arguments personally tbh.
I personally follow Benjamin Cowen and I’m in the Q4 2025 bull cycle top camp. I mean we still got 2 months and a week left before the year ends. Also, I feel this cycle resembles 2017 more than 2021, and most of the vast majority of alt gains happened in the last 2 months of that cycle. People mistakenly think this is a repeat of 2021 bull run imo. But who knows, maybe nobody knows anything.
Thoughts?
There has never been a four-year cycle. There have been macroeconomic cycles that have lasted about four years in recent times, Bitcoin has more or less followed them, and this has deluded us that Bitcoin has four-year cycles. The fact is that you can’t understand bitcoin by just looking at the Bitcoin chart.
No.
We have just lived through crypto’s first ever failed cycle.
The bear market will be exactly as explosive as the bull market wasn’t