Do you generally believe that it will drop more during this year ?

ngl i feel like one thing that always stands out with trading bots is how good they can look at first, especially in crypto where trends are strong and things feel kinda predictable for a bit. u run the backtest, maybe even some forward testing, and it all lines up. then the market shifts and i feel like the same bot just starts falling apart.

i mean yeh i think part of it is obvious stuff like overfitting or weak risk management, but i also feel like a lot of strategies are just tuned to one type of behavior without realizing it. once that behavior disappears, the edge kinda disappears with it. especially in crypto where things switch from trending to chop pretty fast.

i feel like the goal maybe isnt building one “perfect” bot but having multiple smaller signals that can adapt over time. i think thats why setups like numerai exist, and ive been using alphanova too where its more about combining different models instead of relying on one system.