What would make you switch from bullish to bearish on crypto, or the other way around?
What would make you switch from bullish to bearish on crypto, or the other way around?
It’s easy to find evidence supporting whichever outlook you already have. I think the harder question is deciding beforehand what would make you reconsider.
For those who are bullish: what would signal that this is more than a temporary pullback?
For those who are bearish: what would convince you a recovery has real support?
Would you put more weight on price making higher highs and higher lows, the 200-day moving average, ETF flows, or macro conditions?
My view is that one indicator alone gives an incomplete picture, but waiting for everything to agree has its own drawbacks.
What’s your current outlook, your time horizon, and the strongest piece of evidence that could change your mind?
I’m bullish but if we slice clean through the 200-week moving average and stay there for more than a couple candles I’d have to step back. That level’s held through every major wipeout so losing it would feel different.
ETF flows and macro matter but they’re more about timing than direction for me, I’m watching that weekly chart like it owes me money.